TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia
kalshi
polymarket

Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia

Volume:
$784,459

Latvia

 - Kalshi

Latvia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Germany vs Latvia Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Latvia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$21,525
$64,392
0%
0%
$44,238
N/A
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,437
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517,141
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Germany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,176
$189,724
0%
0%
$157,751
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,765
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Germany and Latvia scheduled for February 14, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. Three related markets track the match outcome (moneyline), the spread (-1.5 goals for Germany), and the total goals over/under 5.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve Yes), rendering it unresolvable. Polymarket's three markets are logically consistent but represent different settlement scopes (moneyline, spread, total), creating a multi-SKU divergence.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline due to the unresolvable contradiction. On Polymarket, treat each market independently: moneyline determines winner, spread requires Germany to win by 2+ goals, and total requires 6+ combined goals. All three use the same final score source but different thresholds. Confirm the official Olympic score including overtime and any shootout goal adjustment (one goal added to winning team).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Germany wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Latvia wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical tautology—both possible outcomes map to the same resolution, making the market unresolvable. No clear Yes/No distinction exists.
  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets with consistent internal logic: (1) Moneyline resolves to 'Germany' or 'Latvia' based on winner; (2) Spread (-1.5) resolves to 'Germany' if margin is 2+ goals, else 'Latvia'; (3) Total (O/U 5.5) resolves to 'Over' if combined goals >= 6, else 'Under'. All use final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.