TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Men's Group A - Canada vs. France
kalshi
polymarket

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France

Volume:
$830,580

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France

 - Polymarket

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$382,643
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Canada

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$9,003
$7,869
0%
0%
$6,398
N/A
kalshi

France

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,477
$440,068
0%
0%
$397,430
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Canada and France scheduled for February 15, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both Canada winning and France winning resolve to Yes, eliminating the market's ability to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (Canada or France). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market until the resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting conventions. If you must choose, Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary affirmation market where both France winning and Canada winning resolve to Yes. This eliminates outcome discrimination and suggests a logic error in market design. Key quote: If France wins...resolves to Yes. If Canada wins...resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Categorical outcome market resolving to either Canada or France based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: If Canada win, resolves to Canada. If France win, resolves to France.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.