TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France
Volume:
$830,580
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Canada and France scheduled for February 15, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both Canada winning and France winning resolve to Yes, eliminating the market's ability to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (Canada or France). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting conventions. If you must choose, Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary affirmation market where both France winning and Canada winning resolve to Yes. This eliminates outcome discrimination and suggests a logic error in market design. Key quote: If France wins...resolves to Yes. If Canada wins...resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical outcome market resolving to either Canada or France based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: If Canada win, resolves to Canada. If France win, resolves to France.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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