TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Memphis Tigers vs. UTSA Roadrunners (W)
Volume:
$8,135
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Memphis Tigers and UTSA Roadrunners scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: it states both a Memphis win and a UTSA win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (team name outcomes), which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies its resolution logic. Polymarket's structure is reliable: back Memphis Tigers if you believe Memphis wins, back UTSA Roadrunners if you believe UTSA wins. Kalshi requires emergency clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes (Memphis win and UTSA win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible and renders the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If UTSA wins...resolves to Yes. If Memphis wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Memphis win resolves to Memphis Tigers, UTSA win resolves to UTSA Roadrunners. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Quote: 'If the Memphis Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Tigers". If the UTSA Roadrunners win, the market will resolve to "UTSA Roadrunners".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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