TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggies
Volume:
$981,941
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggies men's college basketball game scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-13.5 Utah State), and total points (O/U 154.5) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Utah State win and Memphis win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), rendering the market non-binary and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and all other markets maintain consistent, unambiguous binary or ternary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline, both platforms' spread markets, and both platforms' total markets are all logically consistent and resolvable. Verify with Kalshi whether this is a data error or an intentional "game will occur" market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Utah State win AND Memphis win. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Utah St. wins the Memphis at Utah St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins the Memphis at Utah St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Memphis Tigers' if Memphis wins or 'Utah State Aggies' if Utah State wins. Clear binary logic with no contradiction. Quote: 'If the Memphis Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Tigers". If the Utah State Aggies win, the market will resolve to "Utah State Aggies".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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