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Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls
kalshi
polymarket

Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls

Volume:
$766,535

South Florida

 - Kalshi

South Florida - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Florida

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$252,690
N/A
N/A
$213,718
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Memphis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417,606
N/A
N/A
$315,120
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,001
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,115
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,852
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 161.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,904
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 163.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,073
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 164.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,295
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 162.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$719
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 158.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$605
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 160.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 159.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers the Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls men's college basketball game scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (South Florida wins and Memphis wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets in this group. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are safe to trade and follow standard sports betting conventions. Request clarification from Kalshi before the game occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets specify: 'If South Florida wins the Memphis at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins the Memphis at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a tautology.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Memphis Tigers' if Memphis wins or 'South Florida Bulls' if South Florida wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (e.g., -8.5 requires 9+ point win). Over/Unders resolve based on combined score thresholds (159, 160, 161, 162, 163, 164, 165). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. All logic is mutually exclusive and complete.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.