TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls
Volume:
$766,535
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls men's college basketball game scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (South Florida wins and Memphis wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets in this group. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are safe to trade and follow standard sports betting conventions. Request clarification from Kalshi before the game occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets specify: 'If South Florida wins the Memphis at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins the Memphis at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a tautology.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Memphis Tigers' if Memphis wins or 'South Florida Bulls' if South Florida wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (e.g., -8.5 requires 9+ point win). Over/Unders resolve based on combined score thresholds (159, 160, 161, 162, 163, 164, 165). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. All logic is mutually exclusive and complete.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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