TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC
Volume:
$366,496
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the A-League match between Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets collectively ask whether Melbourne Victory wins, Brisbane Roar wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket specifies that win markets resolve No on cancellation while the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation.Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly with the platform. On Polymarket, the draw market is asymmetrically exposed to cancellation risk—it wins if the match is canceled, while the two win markets lose. Factor match postponement/cancellation probability into your pricing model, especially for the draw market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Melbourne Victory win, Tie, Brisbane win), each resolving to Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided in the source data. Logical structure implies one and only one outcome will resolve Yes, but edge case handling is undefined.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Melbourne Victory win and Brisbane Roar win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup game. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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