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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC
kalshi
polymarket

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC

Volume:
$366,496

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$4,584
$68,984
N/A
N/A
$40,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brisbane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$1,149
$131,423
N/A
N/A
$92,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Melbourne Victory

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,650
$77,864
N/A
N/A
$48,411
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,285
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Melbourne Victory FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,584
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Brisbane Roar FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,356
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the A-League match between Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets collectively ask whether Melbourne Victory wins, Brisbane Roar wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket specifies that win markets resolve No on cancellation while the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation.Hero tip: Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly with the platform. On Polymarket, the draw market is asymmetrically exposed to cancellation risk—it wins if the match is canceled, while the two win markets lose. Factor match postponement/cancellation probability into your pricing model, especially for the draw market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Melbourne Victory win, Tie, Brisbane win), each resolving to Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided in the source data. Logical structure implies one and only one outcome will resolve Yes, but edge case handling is undefined.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Melbourne Victory win and Brisbane Roar win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup game. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.