TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC
Volume:
$514,556
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC match scheduled for February 21, 2026, in the Australian A-League. Markets track whether Melbourne Victory wins, Melbourne City wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly specifies cancellation resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely. This creates a settlement gap for the edge case of game cancellation with no makeup.Hero Tip:
If cancellation risk is present, Polymarket's draw market offers implicit Yes protection, but Kalshi's markets lack clarity. Confirm with Kalshi support whether cancellation defaults to No or remains unresolved. For hedging, treat Kalshi cancellation as unresolved/ambiguous and Polymarket draw as Yes-leaning.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Victory win (Yes/No), City win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Explicit cancellation clause: win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as Yes-resolving outcomes: Victory win resolves Yes, City win resolves Yes, Tie resolves Yes. All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. Ambiguity on how cancellation is handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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