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406,422

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC
kalshi
polymarket

Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC

Volume:
$514,556

Melbourne Victory

 - Kalshi

Melbourne Victory - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 6:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melbourne Victory

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201,351
N/A
N/A
$127,318
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Melbourne City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,142
N/A
N/A
$51,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,626
N/A
N/A
$29,149
Settled
No
polymarket

Melbourne Victory FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,266
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Melbourne City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,073
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,098
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC match scheduled for February 21, 2026, in the Australian A-League. Markets track whether Melbourne Victory wins, Melbourne City wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly specifies cancellation resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely. This creates a settlement gap for the edge case of game cancellation with no makeup.Hero tip: If cancellation risk is present, Polymarket's draw market offers implicit Yes protection, but Kalshi's markets lack clarity. Confirm with Kalshi support whether cancellation defaults to No or remains unresolved. For hedging, treat Kalshi cancellation as unresolved/ambiguous and Polymarket draw as Yes-leaning.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Victory win (Yes/No), City win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Explicit cancellation clause: win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Three markets presented as Yes-resolving outcomes: Victory win resolves Yes, City win resolves Yes, Tie resolves Yes. All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. Ambiguity on how cancellation is handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.