TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC
Volume:
$608,437
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 7, 2026 between Melbourne City FC and Central Coast Mariners FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Melbourne City win, Central Coast win, or tie) and each resolves to Yes for its respective outcome, creating a logical contradiction where exactly one market must resolve Yes. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured: only one can resolve Yes. This fundamental structural difference makes Kalshi's markets unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution rules state that each of its three markets resolves to Yes for a different outcome (Melbourne City win, Central Coast win, or tie), but this means all three markets would resolve Yes simultaneously for any actual match result, violating basic market logic. Polymarket's markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets each resolve to Yes for a mutually exclusive outcome (Melbourne City win, Central Coast win, or tie), but the resolution rules state all three resolve to Yes for their respective outcomes. This creates a logical impossibility where every market resolves Yes regardless of the match result. Key quote: 'If Melbourne City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Central Coast wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive—Melbourne City win resolves Yes only if Melbourne City wins, draw resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw, and Central Coast win resolves Yes only if Central Coast wins. Exactly one market will resolve Yes based on the actual match outcome. Key quote: 'If Melbourne City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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