TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca
polymarket
kalshi

Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca

Volume:
$275,680

Mazatlán FC

 - Polymarket

Mazatlán FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mazatlán FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Pachuca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pachuca wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,634
N/A
N/A
$12,521
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pachuca wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,935
N/A
N/A
$1,913
Settled
No
kalshi

Mazatlan wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

Mazatlan wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Mazatlán FC and CF Pachuca scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Mazatlán win, Pachuca win, draw) on Polymarket and four goal-differential markets on Kalshi, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Draw market cancellation logic differs between platforms (Polymarket resolves draw to Yes on full cancellation; Kalshi goal-differential markets lack explicit cancellation clause). Additionally, Kalshi introduces goal-differential thresholds not present on Polymarket, creating scope divergence rather than logical contradiction.Hero tip: Monitor Liga MX official cancellation announcements closely. For normal match completion, both platforms align on the 90+stoppage time rule and outcome determination. Kalshi's goal-differential markets and Polymarket's binary outcome markets are complementary but non-overlapping; construct hedges accordingly. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes while Kalshi markets remain ambiguous pending platform guidance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Mazatlán win, Pachuca win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game; win markets resolve No on cancellation. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market) vs 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets (Pachuca >2.5 goals, Mazatlán >2.5 goals, Mazatlán >1.5 goals, Pachuca >1.5 goals). No explicit cancellation clause provided. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Markets are outcome-agnostic and focus solely on goal margin thresholds. Quote: 'If Pachuca wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similar for other thresholds).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.