TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca
Volume:
$275,680
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Mazatlán FC and CF Pachuca scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Mazatlán win, Pachuca win, draw) on Polymarket and four goal-differential markets on Kalshi, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market cancellation logic differs between platforms (Polymarket resolves draw to Yes on full cancellation; Kalshi goal-differential markets lack explicit cancellation clause). Additionally, Kalshi introduces goal-differential thresholds not present on Polymarket, creating scope divergence rather than logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official cancellation announcements closely. For normal match completion, both platforms align on the 90+stoppage time rule and outcome determination. Kalshi's goal-differential markets and Polymarket's binary outcome markets are complementary but non-overlapping; construct hedges accordingly. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes while Kalshi markets remain ambiguous pending platform guidance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Mazatlán win, Pachuca win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game; win markets resolve No on cancellation. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market) vs 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets (Pachuca >2.5 goals, Mazatlán >2.5 goals, Mazatlán >1.5 goals, Pachuca >1.5 goals). No explicit cancellation clause provided. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Markets are outcome-agnostic and focus solely on goal margin thresholds. Quote: 'If Pachuca wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similar for other thresholds).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.