TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul
kalshi
polymarket

Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul

Volume:
$792,640

Draw (Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 11:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,675
N/A
N/A
$9,877
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mazatlán FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$295,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,610
N/A
N/A
$18,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,960
N/A
N/A
$5,710
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,900
N/A
N/A
$2,778
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026 between Mazatlán FC and CF Cruz Azul.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers four markets on total goals (Over/Under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three match-outcome markets (Cruz Azul Win, Draw, Mazatlán Win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal totals, while Polymarket settles on match result (win/loss/draw).Hero tip: These markets measure different outcomes. If you trade Kalshi, you are betting on total goals scored; if you trade Polymarket, you are betting on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw. A high-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2) resolves YES on Kalshi's Over 2.5 but YES on Polymarket's Draw market—not contradictory, but distinct dimensions. Ensure your position aligns with which outcome you actually want to predict.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal totals across four separate Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals). Each market resolves YES if the combined goals exceed the threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Cruz Azul and Mazatlan collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (three separate markets: Cruz Azul Win, Draw, Mazatlán Win), each resolving based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.