TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul
Volume:
$792,640
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026 between Mazatlán FC and CF Cruz Azul.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers four markets on total goals (Over/Under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three match-outcome markets (Cruz Azul Win, Draw, Mazatlán Win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal totals, while Polymarket settles on match result (win/loss/draw).Hero Tip:
These markets measure different outcomes. If you trade Kalshi, you are betting on total goals scored; if you trade Polymarket, you are betting on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw. A high-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2) resolves YES on Kalshi's Over 2.5 but YES on Polymarket's Draw market—not contradictory, but distinct dimensions. Ensure your position aligns with which outcome you actually want to predict.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal totals across four separate Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals). Each market resolves YES if the combined goals exceed the threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Cruz Azul and Mazatlan collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (three separate markets: Cruz Azul Win, Draw, Mazatlán Win), each resolving based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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