TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mavericks vs. Spurs
Volume:
$5,221,190
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed resolution rules across 44 distinct markets with specific thresholds, timing, and edge-case handling. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with minimal resolution detail, covering only the moneyline outcome. This represents a fundamental structural divergence in market scope and resolution specificity.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you have granular exposure to spreads, player props, and first-half markets with precise threshold definitions. On Kalshi, you have only a simple binary bet on who wins. Your risk profile and settlement certainty differ dramatically between platforms—Polymarket's detailed rules reduce ambiguity, while Kalshi's minimal specification creates settlement risk if the game outcome is disputed or if player eligibility/inactivity occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 44 separate markets spanning moneyline, spreads (full-game and first-half), over/unders (full-game and first-half), and individual player props (points, rebounds, assists). Each market includes explicit thresholds (e.g., 'Spurs win by 18 or more points'), overtime inclusion, inactivity clauses, and postponement/cancellation rules. Resolution source is explicitly 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.' Example: 'This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides a single binary market with no threshold detail, no player props, and no spread/over-under variants. The resolution rule is minimal: 'If San Antonio wins the Dallas at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the Dallas at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit source, no inactivity clause, no postponement handling, and no overtime specification.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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