TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mavericks vs. Raptors
Volume:
$5,453,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Dallas Mavericks and Toronto Raptors scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, over/unders at various thresholds, first-half outcomes, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Dallas win and Toronto win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi markets 1-2 completely due to logical impossibility. Trade only Polymarket markets, which use standard NBA resolution: final score including overtime, official NBA.com box score as source, 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup, and markets remain open if postponed until completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Markets 1-2 state: If Dallas wins the game, resolve Yes. If Toronto wins the game, resolve Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution, making it impossible to determine a winner. The market structure violates fundamental binary logic.
- Polymarket: Markets 3+ use standard sports betting logic: Mavericks win resolves to Mavericks, Raptors win resolves to Raptors. Spreads resolve based on final margin (e.g., Raptors -10.5 resolves Raptors if they win by 11+, otherwise Mavericks). Totals resolve based on combined final score. All markets include consistent tie-breaking and cancellation rules: postponement keeps market open, full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.