TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mavericks vs. Lakers
Volume:
$17,347,872
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA game scheduled for February 12, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET. It includes 48 individual player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists), team totals (full game and first half), spreads (full game and first half), moneylines, and over/under markets across multiple point thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Lakers win or Mavericks win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market without explicit platform clarification. The Polymarket markets are logically sound and should be used as the primary reference. If you must trade Kalshi, treat it as a binary bet on whether the game occurs (Yes if either team wins, No if canceled), but this interpretation is not stated in the market description.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Mavericks if Mavericks win, Lakers if Lakers win. Spreads resolve to Lakers if margin threshold is met, otherwise Mavericks. All player props resolve based on official NBA.com box scores; player inactivity triggers No. Game cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Ties in full-game moneyline resolve 50-50; ties in spreads resolve to Mavericks. First-half markets resolve at halftime only. All overtime periods included in full-game markets.
- Kalshi: Market description states: 'If Los Angeles L wins the Dallas at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the Dallas at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path to No is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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