TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
Volume:
$5,713,963
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, over/under totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Memphis win and Dallas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent market correctly maps outcomes to distinct resolutions.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). Treat Polymarket's moneyline as the authoritative resolution source. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half variants) are consistent across platforms and resolve via official NBA.com box scores.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Memphis win AND Dallas win. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No under any game outcome. Quote: 'If Memphis wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline correctly resolves to 'Mavericks' if Dallas wins or 'Grizzlies' if Memphis wins. Spread markets require specific point margins (5+ for -4.5, 6+ for -5.5). All totals use combined score thresholds (236+, 237+, 238+, 239+, 240+ points). Quote: 'If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to Mavericks. If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Grizzlies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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