TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Volume:
$3,145,754
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the University of Massachusetts Minutemen and Miami University (Ohio) RedHawks scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcome, and total points scored in this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Miami (OH) wins or UMass wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Disregard the Kalshi moneyline market entirely due to its logical impossibility. Rely exclusively on Polymarket's moneyline market for determining the game winner. For spread and totals bets, use Polymarket's clearly defined thresholds: spread resolves based on margin of victory, and totals resolve based on combined final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Miami (OH) wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UMass wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical tautology with no path to No resolution, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If Massachusetts Minutemen win, resolves to Massachusetts Minutemen' and 'If Miami (OH) RedHawks win, resolves to Miami (OH) RedHawks'. Includes clear contingencies: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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