TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (W)
Volume:
$11,704
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Massachusetts Minutemen and Central Michigan Chippewas scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Central Michigan win and UMass win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as currently written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports market. Massachusetts Minutemen victory resolves to Massachusetts Minutemen; Central Michigan victory resolves to Central Michigan Chippewas. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective market structure. Both Central Michigan win and UMass win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution path for No outcome is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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