TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ball State Cardinals
Volume:
$1,003,443
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the University of Massachusetts Minutemen and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-5.5 and -4.5), and total points scored across various over/under lines (140.5, 142.5, and 143.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UMass win and Ball State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi moneyline markets until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all logically sound and can be traded with confidence. Verify the Kalshi error with platform support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If UMass wins the UMass at Ball St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ball St. wins the UMass at Ball St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Massachusetts Minutemen' if UMass wins or 'Ball State Cardinals' if Ball State wins. Spread markets (-5.5 and -4.5) resolve based on margin of victory thresholds. Over/under markets (140.5, 142.5, 143.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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