This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the University of Massachusetts Minutemen and the University of Akron Zips. Two prediction markets on different platforms are tracking the binary outcome: which team wins the game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Akron wins or UMass wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, game dates differ between platforms (February 14, 2025 on Polymarket vs February 13, 2026 on Kalshi), suggesting potential data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is clarified. The market as written cannot resolve to No under any circumstance. Polymarket's market is logically sound. Confirm the actual game date with official NCAA sources before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to Massachusetts Minutemen if they win, Akron Zips if they win. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Scheduled for February 14, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory market. States If Akron wins then resolves to Yes AND If UMass wins then resolves to Yes, leaving no resolution path to No. Scheduled for February 13, 2026. Key Quote: If Akron wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If UMass wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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