TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats
polymarket
kalshi

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Volume:
$322,387

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 Points

 - Kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 Points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 Points?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3,026
$16,164
0%
0%
$9,996
N/A
polymarket

O/U 142.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,933
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 143.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,142
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 8.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,326
$103,607
0%
0%
$81,231
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 5.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$919
$76,380
0%
0%
$38,399
N/A
polymarket

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,276
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,651
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 11.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,069
$21,827
0%
0%
$15,748
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,781
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 20.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$731
$6,022
0%
0%
$1,887
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 17.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$1,278,532
$4,079
0%
0%
$3,586
N/A
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 7.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$696
$3,427
0%
0%
$2,649
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 23.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$112
$3,393
0%
0%
$3,393
N/A
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 1.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$736
$3,283
0%
0%
$2,685
N/A
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 4.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$701
$1,507
0%
0%
$1,136
N/A
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 14.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$953
$915
0%
0%
$818
N/A
Total markets: 16

Description

This event group covers a college basketball game between Maryland Terrapins and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (142.5 and 143.5), and point spreads (-7.5 and -8.5 for Northwestern). Polymarket and Kalshi both offer these betting options with slightly different market structures.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ different market structures and threshold definitions for spreads and totals. Polymarket offers discrete spread and total markets at specific thresholds, while Kalshi provides a ladder of binary spread outcomes with no Over/Under markets. The 1-point difference in Over/Under thresholds (142.5 vs 143.5) creates potential settlement ambiguity at boundary scores.Hero tip: Before trading, confirm which platform's market you are on. For spreads, note that Polymarket -8.5 (9+ point win) corresponds to Kalshi's 8.5-point threshold. Kalshi's 2.5, 5.5, 11.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, and 23.5 spread markets have no Polymarket equivalent. For totals, a combined score of exactly 143 or 144 will resolve differently: Polymarket 143.5 O/U resolves Under at 143, while Polymarket 142.5 O/U resolves Over at 143. Avoid cross-platform arbitrage unless you fully understand these thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers moneyline (Maryland vs Northwestern), two Over/Under markets at 142.5 and 143.5 (Over if combined score is 143+ or 144+ respectively), and two spread markets at -7.5 and -8.5 for Northwestern (Northwestern wins by 8+ or 9+ points respectively). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Provides 11 binary spread outcome markets for Maryland and Northwestern across thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 5.5, 8.5, 11.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, and 23.5 points (e.g., 'Northwestern wins by more than 8.5 points' resolves Yes if margin exceeds threshold). No Over/Under markets listed. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.