TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)
Volume:
$105,832
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Maryland Terrapins and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the same game result, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Maryland winning and Michigan winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market structure and renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market logic is broken. Polymarket's binary structure (Maryland wins = Maryland Terrapins, Michigan wins = Michigan Wolverines) is the only logically sound version. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify or avoid this market entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Maryland victory resolves to Maryland Terrapins, Michigan victory resolves to Michigan Wolverines. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both Michigan winning and Maryland winning each resolve to Yes. This violates binary market logic and creates an unresolvable state. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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