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Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)

Volume:
$411,952

Marshall

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marshall

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$244,567
N/A
N/A
$149,154
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arkansas St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,581
N/A
N/A
$82,245
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the WBB game between Marshall Thundering Herd and Arkansas State Red Wolves on April 1 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and resolves to YES for every possible outcome (Marshall wins OR Arkansas State wins), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner based on final game score.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi. The market contains a logical contradiction: both 'If Marshall wins...then YES' and 'If Arkansas St. wins...then YES' means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, rendering it unresolvable. Polymarket is the only reliable market in this group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to either 'Marshall Thundering Herd' or 'Arkansas State Red Wolves' based on final score, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled entirely. Key quote: 'If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to Marshall Thundering Herd. If the Arkansas State Red Wolves win, the market will resolve to Arkansas State Red Wolves.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (data integrity failure): Contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Marshall wins OR Arkansas St. wins) are mapped to YES, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Marshall wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.