This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Marquette Golden Eagles and Xavier Musketeers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different lines (-2.5 and -1.5 for Xavier), and total points over/under at two thresholds (155.5 and 156.5).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on core resolution logic: final score determines all outcomes, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split, and overtime is included in final score.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score and game result
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline resolves to the team with the higher final score
Xavier -2.5 spread resolves to Xavier if they win by 3+ points, otherwise Marquette
Xavier -1.5 spread resolves to Xavier if they win by 2+ points, otherwise Marquette
Over 155.5 resolves if combined score is 156 or more points
Under 155.5 resolves if combined score is 155 or fewer points
Over 156.5 resolves if combined score is 157 or more points
Under 156.5 resolves if combined score is 156 or fewer points
All calculations include overtime periods in final score
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a makeup date
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played; the game result is determined by the final score after all overtime is complete
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the game concludes and the official final score is confirmed by NCAA sources, typically within hours of game completion
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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