TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Providence Friars
Volume:
$628,941
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Marquette Golden Eagles and Providence Friars scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Providence. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Providence win and Marquette win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's moneyline market due to the logical error. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly assigns Providence Friars or Marquette Golden Eagles as mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Providence wins, resolve Yes. If Marquette wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, leaving no path to a No resolution.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Marquette wins, resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles. If Providence wins, resolve to Providence Friars. Spread and over/under markets use consistent thresholds (Providence -3.5, -4.5, -5.5 spreads; totals at 161.5, 162.5, 163.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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