TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints (W)
Volume:
$7,420
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Marist Red Foxes and Siena Saints scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Marist win and Siena win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as stated cannot distinguish between a Marist victory and a Siena victory. Polymarket's binary structure is the only logically sound version of this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear differentiation: resolves to 'Marist Red Foxes' if Marist wins, or 'Siena Saints' if Siena wins. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market that resolves to Yes if Siena wins AND Yes if Marist wins. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, leaving no condition for a No resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.