This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Marist Red Foxes and Manhattan Jaspers scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Manhattan. Markets span moneyline, spread, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Marist win and Manhattan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. This market is unresolvable as written and will require manual intervention or cancellation by Kalshi. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spread, over/under at 141.5 and 142.5) are logically consistent and should be your primary trading venues for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Manhattan win and Marist win, creating a tautology. No valid No outcome exists. Quote: 'If Manhattan wins the Marist at Manhattan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marist wins the Marist at Manhattan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Marist Red Foxes' if Marist wins or 'Manhattan Jaspers' if Manhattan wins. Spread resolves to Marist if they win by 5+ points, otherwise Manhattan. Over/unders at 141.5 and 142.5 resolve Over/Under based on combined score. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols. Quote: 'If the Marist Red Foxes win, the market will resolve to Marist Red Foxes. If the Manhattan Jaspers win, the market will resolve to Manhattan Jaspers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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