TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Maple Leafs vs. Wild
Volume:
$1,714,675
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Minnesota Wild scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals lines (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread betting. Resolution depends on final regulation and overtime scoring, with shootout goals counted as one additional goal for the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Wild win and Maple Leafs win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and over/under markets are all logically sound and can be safely traded. Treat Kalshi moneyline as suspended pending correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Maple Leafs if Toronto wins, Wild if Minnesota wins. All over/under and spread markets use consistent NHL scoring rules: final score includes overtime and shootouts, with one goal added to the winning team's score in shootout scenarios. Source is NHL.com official scores. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If MIN Wild wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If TOR Maple Leafs wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction in a binary market structure and makes resolution impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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