TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC
Volume:
$1,451,360
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FA Cup match between Mansfield Town FC and Arsenal FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three separate prediction markets track the outcome: whether Arsenal wins, whether Mansfield wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets measure the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Kalshi treats all outcomes uniformly (resolves to Yes if match is played), while Polymarket applies outcome-specific rules where Mansfield and Arsenal wins resolve No on cancellation, but a draw resolves Yes on cancellation.Hero Tip:
Monitor FA Cup official communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve Yes while Mansfield and Arsenal markets resolve No. This creates a logical inconsistency across platforms. Kalshi avoids this by resolving all outcomes to Yes if the match occurs. Consider this divergence when allocating capital across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Kalshi presents three separate binary markets (Arsenal wins, Mansfield wins, Tie). All three resolve to Yes if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The terms do not explicitly address cancellation, implying all outcomes are contingent on the match being played. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Mansfield vs Arsenal professional FA Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with outcome-specific cancellation rules. Mansfield and Arsenal win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. The Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Postponements keep markets open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.