TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC
kalshi
polymarket

Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC

Volume:
$1,451,360

Arsenal FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$690,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arsenal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200,121
N/A
N/A
$167,111
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mansfield Town FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mansfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,237
N/A
N/A
$96,503
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,049
N/A
N/A
$20,733
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the FA Cup match between Mansfield Town FC and Arsenal FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three separate prediction markets track the outcome: whether Arsenal wins, whether Mansfield wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets measure the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Kalshi treats all outcomes uniformly (resolves to Yes if match is played), while Polymarket applies outcome-specific rules where Mansfield and Arsenal wins resolve No on cancellation, but a draw resolves Yes on cancellation.Hero tip: Monitor FA Cup official communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve Yes while Mansfield and Arsenal markets resolve No. This creates a logical inconsistency across platforms. Kalshi avoids this by resolving all outcomes to Yes if the match occurs. Consider this divergence when allocating capital across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Kalshi presents three separate binary markets (Arsenal wins, Mansfield wins, Tie). All three resolve to Yes if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The terms do not explicitly address cancellation, implying all outcomes are contingent on the match being played. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Mansfield vs Arsenal professional FA Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with outcome-specific cancellation rules. Mansfield and Arsenal win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. The Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Postponements keep markets open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.