This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Manhattan Jaspers and Marist Red Foxes scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Marist win and Manhattan win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically impossible—both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has coherent binary resolution logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clear binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. Manhattan win resolves to Manhattan Jaspers; Marist win resolves to Marist Red Foxes. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. Both Marist winning and Manhattan winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No differentiation between outcomes; market cannot resolve correctly regardless of game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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