TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Fairfield Stags
Volume:
$123,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Manhattan Jaspers and Fairfield Stags scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5 for Fairfield), and total points over/under at multiple levels (148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manhattan win and Fairfield win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets across both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals as the reliable resolution framework. All Polymarket markets consistently resolve based on final score including overtime, with 50-50 cancellation fallback if the game is canceled with no makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains unresolvable logic: 'If Manhattan wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Fairfield wins...resolves to Yes.' Every possible outcome triggers Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Spread and total markets are not present on Kalshi.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Manhattan Jaspers or Fairfield Stags). Spreads resolve based on margin threshold (Fairfield -3.5/-4.5/-5.5). Totals resolve Over/Under at 148.5/149.5/150.5. All markets include overtime in final score and use 50-50 cancellation fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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