TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC

Volume:
$763,988

Manchester City

 - Kalshi

Manchester City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$9,682
$59,863
N/A
N/A
$53,915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Salford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,873
$136,813
N/A
N/A
$115,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,328
$55,854
N/A
N/A
$48,987
Settled
No
polymarket

Manchester City FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$398,901
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Salford City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,044
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,513
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the FA Cup match between Manchester City FC and Salford City FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time: a Manchester City win, a Salford City win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the final score after regular play, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure contains a logical impossibility: three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve to Yes simultaneously. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written, since only one outcome can occur in a single match.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market until clarification is obtained. The market as stated cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and should be your primary reference for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure lists three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Manchester City win, Salford win) but assigns all three a Yes resolution. This is logically contradictory. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Salford wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with clear conditional logic: Draw market resolves Yes only if draw occurs (or game canceled); Manchester City market resolves Yes only if Manchester City wins; Salford market resolves Yes only if Salford wins. Each outcome is isolated and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.