TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC
Volume:
$763,988
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FA Cup match between Manchester City FC and Salford City FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time: a Manchester City win, a Salford City win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the final score after regular play, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical impossibility: three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve to Yes simultaneously. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written, since only one outcome can occur in a single match.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until clarification is obtained. The market as stated cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and should be your primary reference for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure lists three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Manchester City win, Salford win) but assigns all three a Yes resolution. This is logically contradictory. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Salford wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with clear conditional logic: Draw market resolves Yes only if draw occurs (or game canceled); Manchester City market resolves Yes only if Manchester City wins; Salford market resolves Yes only if Salford wins. Each outcome is isolated and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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