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Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF
kalshi
polymarket

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF

Volume:
$20,427,609

Real Madrid

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 17, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,031,710
N/A
N/A
$4,225,462
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,707,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,484,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Manchester City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,965,808
N/A
N/A
$751,522
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,580,698
N/A
N/A
$588,990
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$657,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Champions League match between Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF scheduled for March 17, 2026. The resolution focuses on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Manchester City win, Real Madrid win, or a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical event date (March 17, 2026), identical primary source (UEFA/official governing body), and identical postponement/cancellation handling logic.Primary resolution logic: UEFA official statistics and match records; credible reporting consensus if UEFA does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • Match date is March 17, 2026.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Manchester City victory, Real Madrid victory, or draw (0-0 or equal goals).
  • Kalshi resolves all three outcomes to Yes if they occur; Polymarket uses three separate binary markets (one for each outcome).
  • If match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets for Manchester City win and Real Madrid win resolve to No; Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes per its specific cancellation clause.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the outcome is determined.
  • Cancellation without rescheduling: On Polymarket, if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Manchester City win and Real Madrid win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but would likely follow similar logic.
  • Source publication delay: If UEFA does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
  • Extra time and penalties: If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a knockout stage), only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result is used for resolution; extra time and penalty outcomes are ignored.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 17, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official resolution is confirmed once UEFA publishes final statistics or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.