Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
• Match date is March 17, 2026.
• Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Manchester City victory, Real Madrid victory, or draw (0-0 or equal goals).
• Kalshi resolves all three outcomes to Yes if they occur; Polymarket uses three separate binary markets (one for each outcome).
• If match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed.
• If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets for Manchester City win and Real Madrid win resolve to No; Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes per its specific cancellation clause.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Postponement: If the match is postponed, markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the outcome is determined.
• Cancellation without rescheduling: On Polymarket, if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Manchester City win and Real Madrid win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but would likely follow similar logic.
• Source publication delay: If UEFA does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
• Extra time and penalties: If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a knockout stage), only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result is used for resolution; extra time and penalty outcomes are ignored.