TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC
Volume:
$2,210,838
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Liverpool FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets focus on goal-margin thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals) for either team, while Polymarket markets focus on binary match outcomes (Manchester City win, draw, Liverpool win). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes and do not directly map to each other.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on goal-margin magnitude (e.g., a 3-0 win triggers multiple markets). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on simple match outcome (win/draw/loss). A Manchester City 2-0 victory resolves YES on Polymarket's 'Manchester City win' but does NOT resolve YES on Kalshi's '>2.5 goals' market. Choose your platform based on whether you want outcome-based or margin-based exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on goal-margin thresholds, with four separate markets covering >1.5 and >2.5 goal wins for either team. Key quote: 'If Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals' and 'If Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals' — resolution depends on exact margin, not just match outcome.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on binary match outcomes (Manchester City win, draw, or Liverpool win) with no regard to goal margin. Key quote: 'If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes' — resolution depends only on final outcome, not margin.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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