TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC
kalshi
polymarket

Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC

Volume:
$2,210,838

Manchester City FC

 - Polymarket

Manchester City FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,245,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,452
N/A
N/A
$20,127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,740
N/A
N/A
$6,041
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$489,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liverpool FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$399,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,632
N/A
N/A
$19,921
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,424
N/A
N/A
$1,424
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Liverpool FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus on goal-margin thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals) for either team, while Polymarket markets focus on binary match outcomes (Manchester City win, draw, Liverpool win). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes and do not directly map to each other.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on goal-margin magnitude (e.g., a 3-0 win triggers multiple markets). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on simple match outcome (win/draw/loss). A Manchester City 2-0 victory resolves YES on Polymarket's 'Manchester City win' but does NOT resolve YES on Kalshi's '>2.5 goals' market. Choose your platform based on whether you want outcome-based or margin-based exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on goal-margin thresholds, with four separate markets covering >1.5 and >2.5 goal wins for either team. Key quote: 'If Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals' and 'If Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals' — resolution depends on exact margin, not just match outcome.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on binary match outcomes (Manchester City win, draw, or Liverpool win) with no regard to goal margin. Key quote: 'If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes' — resolution depends only on final outcome, not margin.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.