TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Maine Black Bears vs. Binghamton Bearcats
Volume:
$162,269
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the Maine Black Bears and Binghamton Bearcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread, and combined scoring total across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Maine winning and Binghamton winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until the resolution logic is corrected. Trade only on Polymarket where the moneyline, spread, and over/under markets all contain clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Kalshi's error makes it impossible to determine which outcome should trigger a Yes resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Maine Black Bears if Maine wins, or Binghamton Bearcats if Binghamton wins. Spread resolves to Binghamton Bearcats if they win by 2+ points, otherwise Maine Black Bears. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (133+ or 134+). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and logically sound. Key quote: 'If the Maine Black Bears win, the market will resolve to Maine Black Bears. If the Binghamton Bearcats win, the market will resolve to Binghamton Bearcats.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical contradiction. States: 'If Maine wins... resolves to Yes. If Binghamton wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate winners or settle the market correctly. This is a critical data entry error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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