TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.9b

24H VOL:

$98,273,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,605,299,299

484,869

Markets across

36,635

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Magic vs. Pelicans
kalshi
polymarket

Magic vs. Pelicans

Volume:
$9,759,698

Orlando

 - Kalshi

Orlando - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orlando

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,196,962
N/A
N/A
$2,257,975
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Magic vs. Pelicans

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,506,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,541,753
N/A
N/A
$1,310,035
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 237.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 236.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 234.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 235.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Magic and Pelicans scheduled for April 5 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Magic" or "Pelicans" accordingly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Magic win OR Pelicans win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Magic, Pelicans, or specific prop thresholds) with coherent resolution logic.Hero tip: DO NOT trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Its resolution rule guarantees YES regardless of game outcome, violating basic market logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, props, totals) are resolvable and coherent. If you hold Kalshi YES, you will receive a payout regardless of whether Magic or Pelicans wins, which is a data integrity failure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If New Orleans wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins...resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If New Orleans wins the Orlando at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins the Orlando at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Provides 50+ coherent, mutually exclusive markets with proper resolution logic. Moneyline resolves to 'Magic' or 'Pelicans' (not both). Spreads, totals, and player props all have clear thresholds and binary outcomes. All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses (resolve 50-50 if canceled). Key quote: 'If the Magic win, the market will resolve to Magic. If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to Pelicans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.