TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Magic vs. Pelicans
Volume:
$9,759,698
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Magic and Pelicans scheduled for April 5 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Magic" or "Pelicans" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Magic win OR Pelicans win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Magic, Pelicans, or specific prop thresholds) with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
DO NOT trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Its resolution rule guarantees YES regardless of game outcome, violating basic market logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, props, totals) are resolvable and coherent. If you hold Kalshi YES, you will receive a payout regardless of whether Magic or Pelicans wins, which is a data integrity failure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If New Orleans wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins...resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If New Orleans wins the Orlando at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins the Orlando at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Provides 50+ coherent, mutually exclusive markets with proper resolution logic. Moneyline resolves to 'Magic' or 'Pelicans' (not both). Spreads, totals, and player props all have clear thresholds and binary outcomes. All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses (resolve 50-50 if canceled). Key quote: 'If the Magic win, the market will resolve to Magic. If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to Pelicans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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