TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Magic vs. Kings
Volume:
$3,762,637
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NBA game between the Orlando Magic and Sacramento Kings scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi frames the game as 'Orlando at Sacramento' (Sacramento home), while Polymarket frames it as 'Magic vs. Kings' with Magic spreads consistently negative, suggesting Magic are the away team. The underlying game is the same, but the venue/home-team designation differs between platform descriptions.Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm the official NBA game location and which team is home. Cross-reference the final official NBA box score URL and game recap. Both platforms should resolve to the same final score; the divergence is in how they describe the matchup, not in the actual resolution outcome. Ensure your position accounts for which team you backed and verify it matches the official result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All 32 markets reference 'Orlando at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026'. Conditions split between Sacramento winning by X points (16 markets) and Orlando winning by X points (8 markets), with margins ranging from 1.5 to 27.5 points. Treats Sacramento as home team.
- Polymarket: Markets labeled 'Magic vs. Kings' with Magic spreads consistently negative (-11.5, -10.5, -12.5, -9.5, -8.5), indicating Magic are favored. Moneyline resolves to 'Magic' or 'Kings'. Totals and player props reference both teams. Suggests Magic are away team or are the favored side regardless of venue.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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