This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Loyola Marymount Lions and Seattle Redhawks scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Both prediction markets resolve based on the final outcome of this single game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Seattle win and Loyola Marymount win) resolve to Yes, leaving no defined path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.
Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Polymarket's binary structure is sound: one outcome per winner, with explicit 50-50 split for full cancellations. Kalshi requires platform clarification before it should be considered tradeable. Do not assume Kalshi's intent; wait for official amendment.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with three explicit resolution paths: (1) LMU win resolves to 'Loyola Marymount Lions', (2) Seattle win resolves to 'Seattle Redhawks', (3) full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory logic: states 'If Seattle wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Loyola Marymount wins...resolves to Yes', creating a scenario where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution. No defined path to No resolution. Key Quote: 'If Seattle wins...resolves to Yes. If Loyola Marymount wins...resolves to Yes.'
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