TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beavers (W)
Volume:
$55,887
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Loyola Marymount Lions and Oregon State Beavers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Loyola Marymount win or Oregon State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. Polymarket's market is correctly structured as a binary outcome. If forced to choose, trade only on Polymarket. Alert Kalshi support immediately about the logical error in their market definition.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Proper binary structure with two distinct outcomes. Resolves to 'Loyola Marymount Lions' if LMU wins, 'Oregon State Beavers' if OSU wins. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Defective binary structure with logical contradiction. Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Loyola Marymount wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon St. wins...resolves to Yes.' No path to No resolution exists. Key Quote: Both conditional statements resolve to Yes, leaving the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.