A men's college basketball game between Loyola Maryland Greyhounds and Colgate Raiders scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads favoring Colgate (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5), and total points over/under at various thresholds (151.5, 153.5, 154.5, 155.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Loyola Maryland win and Colgate win are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to resolve to No and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with clear binary outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi moneyline entirely due to critical specification error. Trade Polymarket spreads and totals, which have unambiguous resolution logic. Always confirm final score including overtime via NCAA.com before claiming settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Seven distinct markets with clear binary outcomes: moneyline (Loyola or Colgate), three spread markets (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5 favoring Colgate), and three over/under totals (151.5, 153.5, 154.5, 155.5). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Moneyline market with critical logical error: specifies that both 'Loyola Maryland wins' and 'Colgate wins' resolve to Yes, creating mathematical impossibility. No specification of overtime treatment, cancellation protocol, or postponement handling. Key Quote: 'If Loyola Maryland wins...then resolves to Yes. If Colgate wins...then resolves to Yes.'
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