A college basketball game between Loyola Maryland Greyhounds and Colgate Raiders scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Loyola Maryland win or Colgate win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies whether this is a tautological Yes-only market or if the resolution text contains an error. Polymarket's six markets (moneyline, three spreads, three totals) are all logically sound and resolvable based on final game score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Six distinct markets with clear binary outcomes: moneyline (Loyola Maryland vs Colgate Raiders), three spread markets (Colgate -8.5, -9.5 requiring 9+ and 10+ point wins respectively), and three total markets (O/U 150.5, 151.5, 152.5). All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) handling. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Single moneyline market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Loyola Maryland wins...resolves to Yes. If Colgate wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility. No explicit postponement or cancellation handling stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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