TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Norfolk State Spartans (W)
Volume:
$276,563
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Loyola Chicago Ramblers and Norfolk State Spartans scheduled for March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and renders the market non-functional as a prediction instrument. Both possible game outcomes (Norfolk St. win or Loyola Chicago win) resolve to Yes, eliminating the ability to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution with distinct outcomes per team.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market - it cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's market is resolvable and standard. If you hold positions on both platforms, treat them as completely separate contracts with no hedging relationship.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where both Norfolk St. victory and Loyola Chicago victory resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility for prediction markets. Quote: 'If Norfolk St. wins...resolves to Yes. If Loyola Chicago wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to winning team name. Norfolk State win resolves to 'Norfolk State Spartans', Loyola Chicago win resolves to 'Loyola Chicago Ramblers'. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Loyola Chicago Ramblers win, the market will resolve to Loyola Chicago Ramblers. If the Norfolk State Spartans win, the market will resolve to Norfolk State Spartans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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