A men's college basketball game between Loyola Chicago Ramblers and Fordham Rams scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Fordham. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds, and over/under totals at different point levels.
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Loyola Chicago wins OR Fordham wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but offer multiple SKUs with different thresholds that may resolve differently depending on final score.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this event—the resolution logic is broken. On Polymarket, treat each spread and total as a distinct market with its own threshold. A Fordham win by 9 points resolves differently on the -9.5 spread (Loyola Chicago Ramblers) versus the -8.5 spread (Fordham Rams). Similarly, a combined score of 137 resolves Over on the 136.5 total but Under on the 138.5 total. Confirm final score and game status (completed vs postponed vs canceled) before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline markets state both Loyola Chicago win and Fordham win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction. Key Quote: 'If Loyola Chicago wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fordham wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Result: Unresolvable market.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Loyola Chicago Ramblers or Fordham Rams). Spread markets at -9.5 (10+ point threshold) and -8.5 (9+ point threshold) with different outcomes. Over/Under at 138.5 (139+ threshold) and 136.5 (137+ threshold). All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Internally consistent across all SKUs.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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