TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs
polymarket
kalshi

Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs

Volume:
$3,089,039

SMU

 - Kalshi

SMU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 17, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,466,842
$1,449,599
N/A
N/A
$612,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,465,750
$1,481,418
N/A
N/A
$857,066
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 166.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,144
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 168.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$401
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,206
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,471
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,800
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between the Louisville Cardinals and SMU Mustangs scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 166.5 and 168.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both Louisville win and SMU win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market due to data integrity failure. Trade Polymarket markets with confidence—they have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the SMU outcome should resolve to No.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline, spreads, and over/unders all use standard binary logic: Louisville Cardinals or SMU Mustangs (or Over/Under). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. All markets include overtime in final score.
  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical impossibility: both Louisville win and SMU win resolve to Yes. This violates basic binary market structure and makes resolution impossible. No specification of postponement or cancellation handling provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.