A college basketball game between the Louisville Cardinals and SMU Mustangs scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 166.5 and 168.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both Louisville win and SMU win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market due to data integrity failure. Trade Polymarket markets with confidence—they have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the SMU outcome should resolve to No.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline, spreads, and over/unders all use standard binary logic: Louisville Cardinals or SMU Mustangs (or Over/Under). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. All markets include overtime in final score.
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical impossibility: both Louisville win and SMU win resolve to Yes. This violates basic binary market structure and makes resolution impossible. No specification of postponement or cancellation handling provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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