TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
kalshi
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Volume:
$10,886,476

North Carolina

 - Kalshi

North Carolina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 23, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

North Carolina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,683,613
N/A
N/A
$2,651,774
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,143,089
N/A
N/A
$2,034,308
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 163.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between the Louisville Cardinals and North Carolina Tar Heels scheduled for February 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (North Carolina win and Louisville win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets (spread, totals) use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as specified. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spreads at -2.5 and -3.5, totals at 162.5 and 163.5) provides clear, non-contradictory resolution criteria. Confirm Kalshi's actual market terms before execution, as this appears to be a documentation error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If North Carolina wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Louisville wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible in a binary market and makes resolution indeterminate.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly uses mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'Louisville Cardinals' if Louisville wins, or 'North Carolina Tar Heels' if North Carolina wins. Spread and total markets follow the same consistent logic with clear thresholds (spreads: 3+ or 4+ point margins; totals: 163+ or 164+ combined points).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.