TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Volume:
$10,886,476
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Louisville Cardinals and North Carolina Tar Heels scheduled for February 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (North Carolina win and Louisville win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets (spread, totals) use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as specified. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spreads at -2.5 and -3.5, totals at 162.5 and 163.5) provides clear, non-contradictory resolution criteria. Confirm Kalshi's actual market terms before execution, as this appears to be a documentation error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If North Carolina wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Louisville wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible in a binary market and makes resolution indeterminate.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly uses mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'Louisville Cardinals' if Louisville wins, or 'North Carolina Tar Heels' if North Carolina wins. Spread and total markets follow the same consistent logic with clear thresholds (spreads: 3+ or 4+ point margins; totals: 163+ or 164+ combined points).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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