TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes
Volume:
$2,525,240
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Louisville Cardinals and Miami Hurricanes scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Miami. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (Miami -1.5), and multiple over/under totals (154.5, 155.5, 156.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate over/under markets with different point thresholds (154.5, 155.5, 156.5), each with distinct resolution logic. Kalshi provides only a binary moneyline with minimal edge-case specification. Moneyline outcomes are unified, but total scoring markets create threshold-dependent divergence.Hero Tip:
Traders should note that a combined final score of 155 points resolves as Under on the 154.5 line but Over on the 155.5 and 156.5 lines. Similarly, 156 points is Over on 155.5 and 156.5 but Under on 154.5. Confirm your specific line before trading. For postponement scenarios, Polymarket explicitly remains open until completion; Kalshi does not specify this protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary moneyline only. Resolves Yes if Louisville wins OR Miami wins the game scheduled for Mar 7, 2026. No explicit handling of postponement, overtime, or cancellation. Quote: 'If Louisville wins the Louisville at Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to team name (Louisville Cardinals or Miami Hurricanes). (2-4) Three over/under markets with different thresholds: O/U 156.5 resolves Over at 157+, O/U 155.5 resolves Over at 156+, O/U 154.5 resolves Over at 155+. All include overtime and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Louisville Cardinals and Miami Hurricanes combine to score 157 or more points' (156.5 line); 'This market will resolve to Over if...combine to score 156 or more points' (155.5 line); 'This market will resolve to Over if...combine to score 155 or more points' (154.5 line).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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