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Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
kalshi
polymarket

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

Volume:
$464,060

Arkansas St.

 - Kalshi

Arkansas St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arkansas St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,036
N/A
N/A
$97,298
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisiana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330,615
N/A
N/A
$271,242
Settled
No
polymarket

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

A college basketball game between Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns and Arkansas State Red Wolves scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at -13.5 and -14.5, and total points over/under 146.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Arkansas State win and Louisiana win) are stated to resolve to Yes, violating fundamental binary market structure. This makes the market unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely due to the both-ways Yes resolution error. Trade Polymarket's moneyline, spread (-13.5 and -14.5), and total (146.5) markets instead, which all contain coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging with their moneyline product.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Arkansas St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Louisiana wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner with clear mutual exclusivity: 'If Louisiana-Lafayette wins, resolves to Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns; if Arkansas State wins, resolves to Arkansas State Red Wolves.' Spread markets resolve based on point differential thresholds (-13.5 and -14.5). Total market resolves Over if combined score >= 147, Under if < 147.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.