TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Volume:
$464,060
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns and Arkansas State Red Wolves scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at -13.5 and -14.5, and total points over/under 146.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Arkansas State win and Louisiana win) are stated to resolve to Yes, violating fundamental binary market structure. This makes the market unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely due to the both-ways Yes resolution error. Trade Polymarket's moneyline, spread (-13.5 and -14.5), and total (146.5) markets instead, which all contain coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging with their moneyline product.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Arkansas St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Louisiana wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner with clear mutual exclusivity: 'If Louisiana-Lafayette wins, resolves to Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns; if Arkansas State wins, resolves to Arkansas State Red Wolves.' Spread markets resolve based on point differential thresholds (-13.5 and -14.5). Total market resolves Over if combined score >= 147, Under if < 147.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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