TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC
Volume:
$1,084,112
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York City FC scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Galaxy win, a New York City FC win, or a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation rule (resolves Yes if no make-up game) that diverges from its own win markets (resolve No) and from Kalshi's implicit treatment. This creates a scenario where a single canceled game produces contradictory resolutions across linked markets.Hero Tip:
Track MLS schedule updates closely. In a cancellation scenario, short Polymarket's Galaxy and NYCFC win markets (which resolve No) while going long on the draw market (which resolves Yes). Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with platform support before the event date. Hedge across platforms if significant capital is at risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation rules. Galaxy win and NYCFC win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve to No'.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie wins, NYCFC wins, Galaxy wins) with no explicit cancellation clause provided. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time plus stoppage time. Kalshi's rules do not address postponement or cancellation scenarios, leaving resolution ambiguous if the game does not occur as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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