TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC

Volume:
$1,084,112

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 23, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96,525
N/A
N/A
$68,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles G

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384,568
N/A
N/A
$216,259
Settled
No
kalshi

New York City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,625
N/A
N/A
$109,412
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,230
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Los Angeles Galaxy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$271,452
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

New York City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,711
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York City FC scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Galaxy win, a New York City FC win, or a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation rule (resolves Yes if no make-up game) that diverges from its own win markets (resolve No) and from Kalshi's implicit treatment. This creates a scenario where a single canceled game produces contradictory resolutions across linked markets.Hero tip: Track MLS schedule updates closely. In a cancellation scenario, short Polymarket's Galaxy and NYCFC win markets (which resolve No) while going long on the draw market (which resolves Yes). Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with platform support before the event date. Hedge across platforms if significant capital is at risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation rules. Galaxy win and NYCFC win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve to No'.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie wins, NYCFC wins, Galaxy wins) with no explicit cancellation clause provided. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time plus stoppage time. Kalshi's rules do not address postponement or cancellation scenarios, leaving resolution ambiguous if the game does not occur as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.