TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC
Volume:
$164,781
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the MLS match between Los Angeles FC and Orlando City SC scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: LAFC win, draw, and Orlando win. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (LAFC win, draw, Orlando win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi markets in this group — all three markets resolve to YES no matter the match result, making them effectively worthless for price discovery. Polymarket offers genuine binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary outcomes where exactly one market resolves YES based on the final match result. Market 1 resolves YES only if LAFC wins, Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, and Market 3 resolves YES only if Orlando wins. All three use the same primary resolution source: official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'If Los Angeles FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets are logically incoherent. Market 1 states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Los Angeles F wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Orlando wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three markets will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, violating basic market logic and making price discovery impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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