TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC
polymarket
kalshi

Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC

Volume:
$164,781

Los Angeles F

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles F

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,854
N/A
N/A
$55,745
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,704
N/A
N/A
$13,777
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,652
N/A
N/A
$15,065
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the MLS match between Los Angeles FC and Orlando City SC scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: LAFC win, draw, and Orlando win. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (LAFC win, draw, Orlando win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's structure.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi markets in this group — all three markets resolve to YES no matter the match result, making them effectively worthless for price discovery. Polymarket offers genuine binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary outcomes where exactly one market resolves YES based on the final match result. Market 1 resolves YES only if LAFC wins, Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, and Market 3 resolves YES only if Orlando wins. All three use the same primary resolution source: official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'If Los Angeles FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets are logically incoherent. Market 1 states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Los Angeles F wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Orlando wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three markets will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, violating basic market logic and making price discovery impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.