TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF
Volume:
$1,463,194
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles FC and Inter Miami CF scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket, with separate binary contracts for each possible outcome: LAFC win, Inter Miami win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on game cancellation with no makeup, while win markets on both platforms resolve NO. Kalshi's cancellation handling is unspecified, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
The draw market on Polymarket has asymmetric cancellation risk. If the game is canceled, the draw market wins automatically while win markets lose. Traders should monitor MLS schedule announcements closely and consider this tail risk when positioning.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. LAFC win and Miami win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Single ternary market covering all three outcomes (Miami win, LAFC win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolves YES for whichever outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If Miami wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (no cancellation guidance).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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