TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Los Angeles FC vs. FC Dallas
Volume:
$514,998
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Los Angeles FC and FC Dallas scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three related markets track whether LAFC wins, Dallas wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi define cancellation outcomes differently. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly specify cancellation handling, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Before March 7, 2026, confirm with both platforms how they will handle a full game cancellation with no make-up. On Polymarket, a cancellation would make the draw market Yes and win markets No—a logical impossibility if the game never plays. Kalshi's silence on this scenario suggests manual review may be required. Consider the cancellation risk when sizing positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: LAFC Win (Yes if LAFC wins, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Dallas Win (Yes if Dallas wins, No otherwise). On full cancellation with no make-up, the Draw market resolves Yes while Win markets resolve No. All markets measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a unified event: Tie wins (Yes if draw), LAFC wins (Yes if LAFC wins), Dallas wins (Yes if Dallas wins). Kalshi's rules state each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs, but do not explicitly address cancellation, postponement, or no-show scenarios. Measures 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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