TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Longwood Lancers vs. Winthrop Eagles (W)
Volume:
$27,890
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Longwood Lancers and Winthrop Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Winthrop's venue. The markets resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is tautological and unresolvable as a predictive market. Both possible game outcomes (Longwood win or Winthrop win) map to the same resolution (Yes), eliminating all discriminatory power. Polymarket correctly implements a binary winner-selection market.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded as a competitive prediction. Polymarket is the only viable market for this event. If Kalshi resolves Yes regardless of outcome, it may represent a platform error, a promotional giveaway, or a test market. Verify with Kalshi support before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological resolution: both Longwood win and Winthrop win resolve to Yes. No discriminatory outcome. Key Quote: 'If Longwood wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Winthrop wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Winner-specific resolution: Longwood win resolves to Longwood Lancers, Winthrop win resolves to Winthrop Eagles. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Longwood Lancers win, the market will resolve to Longwood Lancers. If the Winthrop Eagles win, the market will resolve to Winthrop Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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